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We’re likely to breach 1.5C. What happens next is still in our hands

A new UN report says the world is likely to exceed the 1.5C global warming threshold in the next few years, but the extent and duration of the breach depend on current and future actions. The report outlines a path where temperatures rise above 1.5C, peak, and then decline if emissions are reduced and carbon is removed from the atmosphere. Scientists stress that every fraction of a degree avoided reduces harm and that the goal of limiting warming remains important.

What happened

A UN report says the 1.5C warming threshold is likely to be crossed soon, but how much and how long temperatures stay above that level depends on current and future actions. The report suggests a path where temperatures rise, peak, and then fall if emissions are cut and carbon is removed from the air.

Why it matters

The report highlights that even if the 1.5C limit is breached, the impact can still be minimized through urgent and sustained action. Every small reduction in warming helps avoid greater harm, and the focus should remain on limiting the overshoot rather than giving up on the goal.

Why it belongs here

The report offers a realistic but hopeful perspective, showing that while challenges are significant, human choices still have a major impact on the future. It emphasizes the importance of continued efforts to reduce emissions and manage climate risks.

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